- Ripple has recently unveiled enhancements that introduce programmability to the XRP Ledger.
- The window for the SEC to appeal the settlement is quickly approaching its end.
- The launch of the XRP stablecoin Real USD (RLUSD) is expected to happen ‘in weeks, rather than months.’
The XRP price is often regarded as one of the most suppressed in the cryptocurrency market. Over the past several years, the asset has fluctuated between $0.3 and $0.8, with sporadic surges beyond these levels during significant market events. The primary driver of XRP’s price has been the ongoing lawsuit filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple, which is nearing its potential conclusion.
Despite these challenges, XRP has consistently ranked among the top 10 largest cryptocurrencies for over five years. The Ripple team has faced allegations of manipulating prices through the large reserve of coins held in escrow, but these accusations remain unfounded.
- As of now, XRP is trading at $0.59, marking an 18.5% increase over the past year.
- Indicators from Blockzeit reveal a bullish sentiment surrounding the XRP price in the market at this time.
XRP Coin and Protocol Overview
XRP serves as the primary utility coin of the XRP Ledger, a Layer 1 blockchain developed and maintained by Ripple Labs. The XRPL operates using a distinct consensus mechanism called the Ripple Protocol Consensus Algorithm. This approach differs from the widely used Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS) models by employing a group of trusted validators to confirm transactions and uphold the ledger’s integrity without any financial incentives.
Dilip Rao, the former Global Head of Infrastructure Innovation at Ripple, referred to XRP as “the Holy Grail” of payments. In a discussion at the Blockchain Venture Summit 2023, Rao explained how XRP aims to transform banking by linking institutions to RippleNet, encouraging them to seek liquidity using XRP, and ultimately holding XRP directly.
The XRP Ledger has a maximum supply of 100 billion coins, with 56.5 billion currently in circulation. The remaining coins are stored in escrow and are released at a rate of 1 billion XRP per month. If these coins go unused, they are returned to escrow and placed at the end of the queue.
Reasons XRP Price May Surge
- Favorable developments in the ongoing Ripple-SEC legal dispute.
- Increasing adoption of Ripple’s technology by financial institutions.
- Recent statements from Ripple Labs’ CEO and other prominent figures have sparked excitement and optimism in the market.
- Technical analysis indicates strong momentum, with signals pointing to a potential breakout for XRP.
Reasons XRP Price May Decline
- Concerns about regulatory compliance could result in delistings from major exchanges.
- Large XRP transfers by whales or network reserve sales may increase the circulating supply.
- Despite positive developments, the ongoing Ripple-SEC case continues to create an atmosphere of uncertainty.
XRP Price Technical Examination
The XRP price is currently consolidating within a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern that has been forming since the 2017-2018 bull market, indicating that a significant breakout may be on the horizon.
Recent monthly candlestick patterns are exhibiting small bodies, which suggests a phase of low volatility and consolidation. This is typically indicative of a price action squeeze ahead of a major movement.
The chart presents an ABCDE wave structure, characteristic of a symmetrical triangle, approaching completion. If the price successfully executes the final upward wave, XRP may experience a significant rally.
There has been a gradual decline in trading volume during the triangle’s formation, which is typical of these patterns. A breakout accompanied by increased volume would serve as strong confirmation of the movement.
Support and Resistance Levels
The triangle’s lower boundary has consistently supported the price and currently rests around $0.50, marking a vital support level.
Conversely, the triangle’s upper boundary and initial resistance level is positioned near $1.00. A major breakout target is set at $4.00, equating to a remarkable 453% increase from the present value.
Long-Term & Short-Term Trading Recommendations
- The current price presents a favorable entry point due to extended consolidation. A more advantageous short-term entry would occur if XRP surpasses $1.00 with robust volume, with a stop-loss positioned just below $0.80.
- Long-term holders could aim for a price target of $4.00, representing a 453% gain.
- Implementing a stop-loss below $0.50, the lower boundary of the triangle, can safeguard against a false breakout.
XRP Price Forecast for 2025
The ongoing buzz around XRP is largely tied to the potential conclusion of the Ripple-SEC lawsuit. After counter-offering the $2 billion fine requested, Ripple proposed a settlement of $125 million, which was accepted.
Nonetheless, the SEC still retains a 60-day period to appeal the settlement, for any reason. The XRP community is now poised for this time frame to pass, ideally bringing the lawsuit to a conclusive close. XRP has already been recognized as non-security, so a lack of appeal from the SEC could signify acceptance of the $125 million settlement.
Furthermore, the highly anticipated XRP stablecoin, Real USD (RLUSD), is on track to launch ‘in weeks, not months,’ according to Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse. The introduction of the stablecoin is expected to facilitate liquidity influx into the XRP Ledger from other chains, possibly propelling XRP’s value upwards.
Additionally, Ripple has recently announced the integration of programmability within the XRP Ledger through side chains, a move that is likely to further increase liquidity in the XRP ecosystem.
XRP is also undergoing gradual burn with each transaction; thus, from a total supply of 100 billion, its quantity can only decrease. Collectively, these factors could feasibly drive the XRP price to $20,000 in the foreseeable future.
Final Thoughts
Ripple’s Payment Solution (commonly known as ODL) represents a significant advantage for the fintech company. There are already numerous collaborations with banks in progress, indicating that a comprehensive system is being established. Furthermore, the price suppression of XRP over the last five years might be interpreted as a phase of accumulation preceding a potential price surge.
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