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Kriptoteka > Market > Defi > Is NEAR’s Price Surge an Indicator of Future Gains?
Defi

Is NEAR’s Price Surge an Indicator of Future Gains?

marcel.mihalic@gmail.com
Last updated: September 20, 2024 7:32 pm
By marcel.mihalic@gmail.com 8 Min Read
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NEAR Protocol [NEAR] has once again emerged as a highlight in the cryptocurrency landscape, capturing the attention of investors with a remarkable surge in both price and trading activity. As of now, NEAR is trading at $4.47, marking an impressive increase of 12% in a brief timeframe. Given the rising transaction levels and a growing interest from traders, many are left wondering: could this be the start of a more prolonged rally?

The answer may reside in the bullish sentiment evident across the market. Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to reduce interest rates, a wave of optimism has swept through, benefiting several cryptocurrencies. NEAR is part of this trend, with its recent price performance reflecting broader market strength.

However, while these gains are certainly noteworthy, the sustainability of this rally is still in question. Let’s delve deeper into the factors propelling NEAR’s rise and whether this indicates the potential for further upward movement.

NEAR’s Bullish Sentiment: Why Traders Are Going Long

A significant indication of NEAR’s current market sentiment arises from Binance, where an impressive 63% of traders have established long positions, showcasing a distinct bullish tendency. This change in positioning suggests that investors anticipate the continued rise of the token’s price, buoyed by confidence in its core fundamentals.

Furthermore, NEAR has witnessed a substantial spike in trading volume, which has surged by over 90%, according to Coin Market Cap. Such a sharp increase in volume typically indicates a buying frenzy, yet it also raises concerns about the momentum’s durability. Are these gains founded on solid fundamentals, or is this price surge merely a speculative bubble on the verge of bursting?

A Closer Look at NEAR’s On-Chain Activity

On-chain statistics offer a more positive perspective for NEAR’s long-term prospects. Data from Near Blocks reveals a significant uptick in daily transactions, reaching a two-week peak of 7.33 million transactions. This marks a notable rise from just a week prior when the transaction count was 6.7 million. The increasing network engagement signals a growing demand for NEAR, as more users interact with the platform.

Additionally, the influx of new addresses to the network has dramatically increased. In early September, NEAR had about 687,000 new addresses, but by mid-month, the number surged to 900,000 new daily addresses. This wave of new users indicates escalating interest and adoption, which could provide substantial support for future price increases.

DApp Activity Fuels NEAR’s Growth

The boost in daily transactions isn’t confined to trading activity alone. Data from Dapp Radar shows that decentralized applications (DApps) on NEAR have played a significant role in increasing transaction counts. In fact, monthly DApp transactions on the protocol have risen by 14%, surpassing $182 million. This uptick reflects NEAR’s growing allure within the decentralized finance (DeFi) and broader blockchain ecosystems.

However, it’s worth mentioning that while DApp transactions have climbed, the overall volume of those transactions has diminished by 54%. This decrease might be linked to fluctuations in NEAR’s price, as market volatility often influences transaction values on the network. Nonetheless, the rise in activity remains a positive indication of the network’s persistent growth.

Derivative Markets: NEAR Attracts Increased Interest

In the derivative market, NEAR has also experienced notable gains. The Open Interest (OI) for NEAR, which gauges the total value of outstanding derivative contracts, has climbed to $184 million, reaching an eight-week high. Such levels of OI haven’t been observed since late July, suggesting that more traders are wagering on NEAR’s future price movements.

The uptick in Open Interest indicates that traders are increasingly optimistic about NEAR’s potential for additional gains. Data from Coin glass shows that OI has steadily increased since early August, implying that investors are opening new positions in anticipation of price escalations.

Moreover, NEAR’s funding rates have turned positive, hitting 0.0112%, the highest level since June. Positive funding rates suggest that traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain long positions, further solidifying the bullish sentiment surrounding NEAR.

What’s Driving NEAR’s Bullish Momentum?

Several factors are fueling the growing bullish sentiment towards NEAR. A key driver is the explosive growth within the market for Big Data and AI cryptocurrencies, a sector where NEAR stands at the forefront. Over the past month, the total market capitalization for AI and Big Data coins has soared from $22 billion to $32 billion, according to Coin Market Cap.

As the largest AI-focused cryptocurrency, NEAR commands over 15% of this market. Its robust position in this rapidly expanding sector has undoubtedly spurred optimism among investors. With the rise of AI and Big Data applications, NEAR is well-positioned to capitalize on this emerging trend, potentially providing further upward momentum for the token.

Can NEAR Sustain Its Recent Gains?

Despite the recent price advancements and optimistic on-chain indicators, there are still risks to consider. The sharp increase in trading volumes, while promising, could also hint at potential volatility. If NEAR’s price appreciation is predominantly driven by speculative trading, the rally may not endure in the long term.

Additionally, the drop in DApp transaction volumes suggests that while NEAR is experiencing heightened activity, this may not directly correlate with increased network value. Investors will need to monitor closely to determine if NEAR can sustain its current momentum or if a pullback is on the horizon in the coming weeks.

Conclusion: Is NEAR’s Price Rise Just the Beginning?

The recent 12% price gain for NEAR Protocol and the spike in network activity have certainly captured investor interest. With increasing transaction counts, rising Open Interest in the derivatives market, and a positive sentiment among traders, a compelling case can be made for NEAR to continue on its upward path.

However, the crucial question remains whether this is merely the onset of a more profound rally or a transient spike in an inherently volatile market. For long-term investors, the growing engagement within the NEAR network and its leadership in the AI cryptocurrency space offer grounds for optimism. Yet, as always, caution is wise, and investors should vigilantly track key metrics to assess whether NEAR can maintain its recent achievements.

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