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Kriptoteka > Market > Bitcoin > Bitcoin Shorts Soar on Binance: Bear Trap or Concerning Risk?
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Shorts Soar on Binance: Bear Trap or Concerning Risk?

marcel.mihalic@gmail.com
Last updated: October 19, 2024 4:31 am
By marcel.mihalic@gmail.com 4 Min Read
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Following recent local highs, Bitcoin is entering a pivotal phase, creating a market atmosphere that is both cautious and hopeful. Despite the price increase, analysts and investors are exercising caution, as BTC has often retreated from similar levels since March, raising fears of another downturn.

Many are pondering whether Bitcoin can overcome this resistance or if it will just repeat past patterns.

Key insights from a leading analyst indicate that a significant number of open positions on Binance are shorts, reflecting a bearish outlook among traders. This has fueled forecasts of a potential Bitcoin drop, intensifying market caution.

Conversely, some analysts believe this could ensnare bearish traders, as the large volume of short positions could lead to a short squeeze if BTC ascends.

Will the prevailing bearish sentiment dominate, or will Bitcoin surprise everyone and continue its upward trend? Investors are keenly observing for indicators that could sway momentum toward another rally.

Bitcoin Selling Pressure

Bitcoin is in a critical phase that could either discourage or excite investors in the weeks ahead. After a notable rally over the last fortnight, bullish sentiment is softening as the price reaches a significant resistance level, one that has historically prompted rejections. 

Investors are anxious about whether BTC will break this barrier or if a major pullback is imminent.

Prominent analyst and investor Ali Martinez shared critical data on X, indicating that 58.23% of all Bitcoin positions on Binance are shorts, reflecting a bearish sentiment.

58.23% of all accounts in Binance with open Bitcoin positions are going short
58.23% of all accounts in Binance with open Bitcoin positions are going short | Source: Ali Martinez on X

Many traders anticipate that Bitcoin will fail at the $70,000 mark and expect a retrace, hoping to acquire at lower price points. However, speculation is rising that this bearish perspective might be a trap.

Historically, Bitcoin tends to move swiftly, often not allowing investors time to respond. A sudden rally could surprise those waiting for a drop, especially if the price breaks through $70,000. In such a scenario, bearish positions could incite a short squeeze, driving prices higher and leaving latecomers rushing to enter the market.

With such pronounced contrasting views, the upcoming weeks will determine Bitcoin’s trajectory, leaving no room for indecision. Investors should brace for volatility.

Demand Testing Crucial Supply

Bitcoin is currently at a critical supply level in this cycle, a key moment in assessing the strength of the forthcoming rally. Since October 10, the price has maintained a clear bullish uptrend, but it is now slowing down near the $68,000 level.

For bulls to sustain momentum, a move above the $68,300 level is essential. A failure to breach this resistance may disrupt the bullish framework and lead to increased volatility.

BTC testing crucial supply around $68K
BTC testing crucial supply around $68K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on X

If BTC manages to climb above $68,300, it will bolster the bullish narrative and set sights on previous all-time highs around $73,000. However, profit-taking amid a climate of market fear could prompt a decline, potentially returning prices to lower demand levels near $63,000.

Traders and analysts are closely monitoring these pivotal levels, as the forthcoming price movements will significantly impact sentiment and future profit potential. The next few days will be critical in determining whether BTC can maintain its upward trajectory or enter a corrective phase.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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